Using Swarm Intelligence to Predict the Academy Awards

A company called Unanimous.AI apparently assembles “crowds” in real time and asks them to answer questions — real-time crowdsourcing.  (I’m not sure it’s fair to call it AI if it’s based on people.)  They used their approach to predict the Oscars, and did better than we did — 2 out of the 3 questions, as opposed to just 1. One difference between what they do and what we did: They don’t give a sense of how confident they are about the answer (as opposed to looking at the diversity of answers among all of our answers as a sign for how confident we should be that the majority vote getter would actually win).

On Oscar night, the brightest stars in Hollywood competed for the most coveted prize in cinema. And across the nation, industry experts and amateurs alike waged a related battle, to see who could predict the winners. This year, a new contender emerged among traditional outlets like Variety, Rolling Stone, and FiveThirtyEight.  A new form of A.I. called a Swarm Intelligence gathered to predict the top 17 categories at the Oscars.”

More at Newsweek and Unanimous.AI.
(Contributor: Huichu Zhang)

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Using Swarm Intelligence to Predict the Academy Awards

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